Shinjiro Koizumi Leads in Polls for Japan's Liberal Democratic Party Presidential Election

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2024-09-13

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The Liberal Democratic Party of Japan has announced that nine candidates will run in the party's presidential election, with voting set to take place on September 27. According to a poll conducted by Japan's Jiji Press, Shinjiro Koizumi, the 43-year-old former environment minister and son of former Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi, is currently leading in support.

In the poll, conducted from September 6 to 9, the top four candidates were Shinjiro Koizumi (25.5%), former secretary-general Shigeru Ishiba (24.2%), Minister of Economic Security Sanae Takaichi (8.5%), and Digital Minister Taro Kono (4.9%). Among Liberal Democratic Party supporters, Koizumi's support rises to 35.6%, compared to Ishiba's 27.1%. This marks a shift from a poll in early August, where Ishiba led with 18.7%, about 6.2% ahead of Koizumi, who was second at the time.

The poll also surveyed voter intentions for the upcoming House of Representatives election. The Liberal Democratic Party leads with 31.2%, followed by the main opposition Constitutional Democratic Party at 10.2%, the Japan Innovation Party at 5.5%, and the Komeito Party at 4.2%. Prime Minister Fumio Kishida's cabinet approval rating has remained below 20% for ten consecutive months, dropping by another 0.7% this time to just 18.7%.

The poll surveyed 2,000 men and women aged 18 and older through individual interviews, with a valid response rate of 58.5%.