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Iran Proposes Three Ceasefire Conditions; U.S. and Israel Show Little Interest in Negotiations

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On the 11th, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian proposed three major conditions for a ceasefire on social media: recognition of Iran’s legitimate rights, a demand that the United States and Israel pay war reparations, and international guarantees for Iran’s future security. These conditions were announced following a high-level meeting with the leaders of Russia and Pakistan. Historically, the so-called “legitimate rights” have often been interpreted as including Iran’s right, as a signatory to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), to conduct uranium enrichment.

The United States dismissed Iran’s demand for compensation. A deputy spokesperson for the U.S. State Department called it “absurd,” while U.S. President Donald Trump stated that he himself was the key decision-maker regarding any ceasefire. Israel’s Defense Minister Israel Katz also expressed determination to continue military operations, stating that the war would “continue without limits until all objectives are achieved and a decisive victory is secured.” On the afternoon of the 11th, the Israeli Air Force carried out “large-scale airstrikes” on infrastructure belonging to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) across the country. The attacks targeted Tehran and several other military strongholds.

The operations launched by the United States and Israel—“Operation Epic Fury” and “Operation Roaring Lion”—have reportedly resulted in more than 1,200 to 1,300 deaths in Iran, including former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, and more than 10,000 people injured.

In response, Iran has attacked U.S. military bases in several Middle Eastern countries and has also blocked the Strait of Hormuz, effectively choking a key global energy transit route and driving oil prices sharply higher in an effort to gain leverage in negotiations. Although diplomatic channels through European and Middle Eastern countries are attempting mediation, it remains unclear whether the United States and Israel will accept the ceasefire conditions proposed by Iran.

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Iran Blocks the Strait of Hormuz, Disrupting Global Energy Transport; U.S. Military Destroys 16 Minelaying Vessels

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According to a report by CNN on the 10th, Iran laid naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz—a key shipping route that carries about one-fifth of the world’s crude oil and natural gas supply—in retaliation for U.S. attacks. U.S. President Donald Trump also posted on social media warning Iran to remove the mines immediately or face unprecedented military consequences. The U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) confirmed that U.S. forces carried out a preemptive strike and precisely destroyed 16 Iranian minelaying vessels near the Strait of Hormuz.

At present, the scale of the mining operation is not yet extensive, with only dozens of mines discovered so far. However, intelligence indicates that Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has the capability to deploy hundreds of mines in the waterway at any time. Combined with armed speedboats and missiles, this could form a blockade in the strait, leading the area to be described as a “valley of death.” Iran has stated firmly that it will not allow any oil tankers that benefit the United States or its allies to pass through the strait. U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth responded that the U.S. military will not allow terrorists to hijack this critical maritime passage. Military tensions between the two sides continue to escalate.

The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has already halted exports from oil-producing countries such as Iraq and Kuwait, and because there are no alternative routes, it has caused recent volatility in oil prices. G7 member countries are therefore discussing releasing strategic petroleum reserves to stabilize the market. Blocking the Strait of Hormuz remains primarily a tactic by Iran to confront the United States, attempting to pressure Washington into negotiations by impacting the entire world.

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Iran Women’s Footballers Refuse to Sing National Anthem; Australia Grants Humanitarian Visas to Protect Five Players

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Five members of the Iranian women’s national football team who were in Australia for the Asian Cup recently sought protection from the Australian government after refusing to sing Iran’s national anthem before a match. Fearing they could be labeled “traitors” and face retaliation if they returned home, the players asked Australia for protection. The Australian government confirmed today that it has issued humanitarian visas to the five athletes.

According to a Reuters report, there had earlier been reports that the players applied for asylum in Australia. U.S. President Donald Trump also took notice of the situation and spoke by phone with Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese to discuss the players’ circumstances.

Other members of the Iranian team remain at a hotel on the Gold Coast. Albanese said the Australian government is willing to offer assistance, but whether to accept that help ultimately depends on the players themselves. At a press conference in Canberra, he said, “The Australian people have great sympathy for the situation these brave women are facing. They are safe here and should feel that they belong here.”

The Iranian women’s team had traveled to Australia to participate in the Asian Cup football tournament. Iran’s semi-official Fars News Agency reported that the five players secretly left the hotel under the escort of Australian police and then sought assistance from the Australian government.

Trump had previously written on social media that sending the players back to Iran would be a “serious humanitarian mistake.” He later revealed that he had spoken with Albanese and praised the Australian government for its handling of the sensitive situation.

Trump said the five players have now received protection, and other team members are also being offered assistance. However, some players remain worried about the safety of their families and are still considering whether to return to Iran. He had earlier warned that if the players were forced to return, they could face danger to their lives, and even said that if Australia did not accept them, the United States would be willing to take them in.

Albanese said Trump called him at nearly 2 a.m., and he briefed him on Australia’s actions over the past 48 hours, including the five players’ request for help and the fact that they have been placed in a safe location.

The incident occurred amid heightened tensions in the Middle East. While the Iranian women’s team was competing in the Asian Cup in Australia, Iran was thrown into turmoil following joint airstrikes by the United States and Israel, and Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was reportedly killed. Iran ultimately lost 0–2 to the Philippines on the 8th and was eliminated early from the Asian Cup.

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War Sends Oil Prices Soaring as G7 Holds Emergency Meeting

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As tensions in the Middle East continue to deteriorate, global energy markets have been thrown into turmoil. International oil prices this week surged past $100 per barrel, the highest level since July 2022. With prices having jumped more than 90 percent since December last year, concerns are growing worldwide over rising inflation and potential supply shortages. Sources say finance ministers from the Group of Seven (G7) will hold an emergency video conference on the 9th. Coordinated by the International Energy Agency (IEA), they are expected to discuss the possibility of jointly releasing 300 to 400 million barrels from strategic petroleum reserves to curb further price spikes.

Iran’s new leadership has adopted a hardline stance, raising fears that the Strait of Hormuz could be blocked. At the same time, declining oil output in several producing countries has heightened market anxiety over energy supply. Short covering has triggered a “short squeeze,” further pushing prices upward. U.S. President Donald Trump recently remarked that the cost of high oil prices is “not too high,” a statement markets interpreted as a signal that Washington may tolerate higher energy prices. Meanwhile, Israel and Iran have continued exchanging attacks, damaging energy facilities across the Gulf region. Oil production has also been forced to decline in places such as Iraq, Kuwait, and Abu Dhabi due to limited storage capacity, further exacerbating supply concerns.

Iran has threatened to strike oil facilities across the Persian Gulf and warned that if the conflict escalates, global oil prices could soar to $200 per barrel. Israel has also reportedly targeted at least five energy infrastructure sites around Iran in recent days, sharply worsening the situation. With energy transport bottlenecks and geopolitical risks rising simultaneously, oil-producing nations are being forced to cut output, raising fears of prolonged supply tightness in the market. To ease the pressure, the Group of Seven is evaluating a large-scale coordinated oil release in hopes of stabilizing markets before global panic intensifies and inflation spirals further out of control.

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Middle East Conflict Escalates; U.S. Carrier George H.W. Bush Reportedly Heading to Region

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According to a report by Fox News, the United States will deploy a third aircraft carrier strike group to the Middle East to join the war against Iran.

Fox News reported that the aircraft carrier USS George H.W. Bush and its accompanying fleet are preparing to cross the Atlantic Ocean toward the eastern Mediterranean. This would mark the third U.S. carrier strike group deployed near Iran. As the Yemeni rebel group Houthis has vowed to confront U.S. forces and could potentially attack Israel, the George H.W. Bush carrier strike group may also serve as a base for operations against the Houthis.

The Associated Press reported that, according to images released by the U.S. Department of Defense, the U.S. Navy’s most advanced aircraft carrier, USS Gerald R. Ford, passed through the Suez Canal on the 5th, moving from the Mediterranean Sea into the Red Sea.

The Ford had moved from the Caribbean to the Middle East in mid-February and carried out missions in the eastern Mediterranean during the early stage of the U.S.–Iran conflict. According to foreign media reports, two carrier strike groups are currently operating in the region: the Ford in the Red Sea and another carrier, USS Abraham Lincoln, in the Arabian Sea.

It remains unclear whether the third carrier group will serve as a rotational replacement or formally join combat operations. As Iran has vowed to attack vessels traveling through the Persian Gulf, about 20% of global oil transport has been disrupted, potentially having a serious impact on global energy prices and the broader situation in the Middle East.

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U.S. Submarine Sinks Iranian Warship in the Indian Ocean; NATO Intercepts Missile Fired Toward Turkey

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The conflict between the United States and Iran continues to escalate. A U.S. submarine sank an Iranian warship off the coast of Sri Lanka, killing at least 80 people, reflecting the expansion of U.S. military operations against Iran. At the same time, NATO air defense systems intercepted and destroyed an Iranian ballistic missile aimed at a regional base near the Turkish border. As the critical oil chokepoint, the Strait of Hormuz, enters its fifth day of paralysis, the global energy supply chain is also facing a growing crisis.

On the 4th, Turkey’s Ministry of National Defense issued a statement accusing Iran of launching a ballistic missile that flew over Syria and Iraq before being successfully intercepted by NATO air defense systems over the eastern Mediterranean. This marks the first time a NATO member state has been directly drawn into the Middle East conflict, raising concerns that the conflict could further expand and involve NATO allies. Turkish authorities said the missile caused no casualties but reserved the right to respond to hostile actions, while warning all parties not to escalate the conflict. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte stated that NATO is closely monitoring the situation in the Middle East but is not currently considering invoking Article 5, the collective defense clause.

On the 7th, Iranian President Pezeshkian delivered a speech apologizing to neighboring countries for the attacks that occurred over the past few days, stating that Iran has no intention of invading other nations. He announced that Iran’s temporary leadership council approved on Friday (the 6th) a decision to cease attacks on neighboring countries unless attacks against Iran originate from those countries. He also declared that Iran would never surrender unconditionally and called on the public to unite in defending the nation.

As the conflict continues, Iran has blocked the Strait of Hormuz. According to Reuters estimates, at least 200 ships are anchored offshore and unwilling to move, pushing oil prices to their highest level in a year. U.S. President Donald Trump has pledged to provide naval escorts and energy insurance in an effort to curb the soaring costs.

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Israel Airstrikes Lebanon as Hezbollah and Iran Launch Counterattacks

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The conflict in the Middle East continues to escalate, with no signs of easing regional tensions. Early Friday morning local time, Israel launched overnight attacks on Hezbollah positions inside Lebanon. After ordering some residents to evacuate, Israeli forces carried out intensive airstrikes on the southern suburbs of Beirut. The Israeli military said it conducted 26 strikes throughout the night, targeting command centers and weapons storage facilities.

Meanwhile, Iranian media claimed that Iran had shot down U.S. and Israeli drones. Qatar and Saudi Arabia also reported successfully intercepting attacks targeting U.S. military bases within their territories, indicating that the conflict is gradually expanding.

As Israel intensified its offensive, Lebanon’s Hezbollah also responded with military action. The group warned residents near the Israeli border to evacuate as soon as possible and launched attacks into Israeli territory. Lebanon had already been drawn into the conflict earlier this week when Hezbollah struck Israel, triggering a new round of military confrontation. Israel subsequently expanded its strikes in southern Lebanon, deployed additional troops to the border area, and urged local civilians to leave potential combat zones.

Several Lebanese sources familiar with the deployments revealed that Hezbollah has sent its elite “Radwan Force” to southern areas near the border to counter advancing Israeli troops. According to the sources, the unit received orders on the 2nd to join the fighting, with missions including preventing Israeli tanks from entering certain areas. The town of Khiam has reportedly become one of the main battle zones. These forces had previously withdrawn north of the Litani River following the ceasefire arrangement after the 2024 Israel–Lebanon war, but their redeployment now signals a renewed deterioration of the situation.

At the same time, after large-scale airstrikes by the United States and Israel on Iran, Tehran and its allies have begun retaliatory actions. Israel recently ordered a mass evacuation of residents in southern Beirut, causing severe traffic congestion and affecting an estimated 500,000 people. Hezbollah also used social media to warn Israeli residents near the border to leave the area, accusing Israeli forces of violating Lebanon’s sovereignty.

According to Lebanon’s Ministry of Public Health, Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon have so far killed at least 123 people and wounded hundreds more. In addition, Israeli forces have continued striking targets in Iran’s capital, Tehran, raising the risk that the conflict could further expand.

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Spain Refuses to Lend Bases for Attacks on Iran; U.S.–Spain Relations Tense, Trade May Halt

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The U.S. and Israel’s “Operation Epic Fury” against Iran has created a rift between Spain and the United States. The Spanish government has formally refused to allow the U.S. to use military bases on its territory. More than ten U.S. military aircraft previously stationed at the Rota Naval Base and Morón Air Base have withdrawn from the bases. In response, Donald Trump has threatened to impose a comprehensive embargo on Spain and suspend economic and trade relations.

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez publicly condemned the military actions taken by the United States and Israel against Iran, calling them “an unjustified and dangerous unilateral military intervention” and stating that they violate international law.

Spain’s Minister of Foreign Affairs, José Manuel Albares, also confirmed the government’s consistent position: Spain will not allow the United States to conduct any military operations that go beyond the scope of bilateral agreements or that lack authorization under the United Nations Charter.

Prior to this, tensions between the United States and Spain had already been strained after the Sánchez government refused to raise defense spending to 5% of GDP and disagreed with Washington on Middle East issues. When asked at the White House about Spain’s refusal to allow the use of its military bases, Trump harshly criticized the decision and stated that the U.S. might halt all commercial dealings with Spain, declaring that the United States “does not want to have anything to do with Spain.” U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent supported Trump, saying that the United States has the legal authority to impose an embargo on Spanish goods. However, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said further discussions would be held regarding options to safeguard national and economic security.

In 2025, U.S. exports to Spain totaled about $26 billion, while imports were about $21 billion, with major trade items including pharmaceuticals and olive oil. If trade were interrupted, it would inevitably have a significant impact on both economies. Although the European Union hopes to maintain stable transatlantic relations, spokesperson Olof Gill emphasized that the EU will stand with all member states and is prepared to use its common trade policy to defend their economic interests. European Commission Vice-President Stéphane Séjourné stated even more clearly: A threat to any one member state is, in essence, a threat to the entire European Union.

However, European countries remain divided over the attack on Iran. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said he understands the “dilemma” faced by the United States in responding to Iran’s nuclear threat and stated that he would “not comment on an ally’s military actions.” The position of British Prime Minister Keir Starmer appeared to shift somewhat after Iran launched a counterattack that struck a British base in Cyprus. The United Kingdom, France, and Germany then issued a joint statement saying they would take necessary defensive actions to destroy Iran’s capacity to launch missile and drone attacks.

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The Trump administration’s request to delay tariff refunds was rejected by the court.

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After the Supreme Court ruled that the reciprocal tariffs imposed by former President Trump under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) were unlawful, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit on the 2nd formally denied the federal government’s request to delay refund litigation for four months. The court ordered that the case be immediately remanded to the U.S. Court of International Trade to resume legal proceedings.

The U.S. Department of Justice had argued that the Federal Circuit should wait until the Supreme Court officially closes the case and allow time for the political branches to formulate a response. The Supreme Court typically takes 32 days to formally conclude a case.

The appeals court did not provide a written explanation or note any dissents in its decision on the 2nd. More than 2,000 related cases are currently pending before the U.S. Court of International Trade in New York. Although the Trump administration suggested in recent filings that refunds may be difficult to avoid, it stopped short of confirming whether it would fully reimburse businesses for tariffs paid over the past year.

Trump previously said the Supreme Court’s ruling would need to be addressed through litigation and even hinted at asking the justices to reconsider the decision—an action the Court rarely grants. The Liberty Justice Center, a legal advocacy group representing importers, welcomed the ruling, emphasizing that the court has made clear the government will not be allowed to continue delaying the process.

The U.S. Court of International Trade has not yet outlined the specific procedures for issuing refunds, and a spokesperson for the Department of Justice did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

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Hezbollah Launches Airstrikes on Israel in Retaliation for Iran

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The United States and Israel have continued their attacks on Iran, prompting Tehran to launch retaliatory strikes against several countries in the Persian Gulf. The escalating conflict has triggered the most severe disruption to the global aviation industry in years. Major Middle Eastern airports — including Dubai, the world’s busiest international air hub — have been forced to cancel flights or shut down entirely.

As airlines across Europe and the Middle East implemented widespread cancellations, the skies over Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Israel, and Bahrain were left nearly empty. Emirates, the world’s largest international airline, suspended flights indefinitely. Both Emirates and Qatar Airways — not only leading passenger carriers but also among the world’s top cargo operators — halted operations, creating far-reaching consequences.

Dubai and Doha sit at the crossroads of major Europe-Asia air routes and rely heavily on dense long-haul transit networks. When these hubs grind to a halt, passengers are stranded, while aircraft and flight crews are stuck across the globe, severely disrupting global flight scheduling. Aviation analyst John Strickland noted that the scale of these hubs means potentially hundreds of thousands of people could be stranded worldwide, with no certainty about when travel can resume. He warned that the current chaos may only be the beginning, with the duration of the disruption still unclear.

Following U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, the conflict quickly spread. Israel announced a new wave of airstrikes on Iran on Sunday, while Tehran launched retaliatory attacks targeting Gulf states. Explosions were reported in the skies over Dubai and Doha for two consecutive days, heightening regional tensions. Kuwait International Airport was also reportedly hit by a drone attack, leaving several employees with minor injuries.

Dubai International Airport confirmed damage to one of its boarding concourses, with footage showing passengers fleeing through smoke-filled corridors. Authorities said four staff members were injured. Damage was also reported at airports in Abu Dhabi and Kuwait. Key transit hubs in Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Qatar’s capital Doha were either partially closed or operating under severe restrictions.

Iran’s retaliatory actions prompted multiple countries to close their airspace, throwing both air and maritime transport in the Middle East into turmoil. Thousands of flights were canceled, and several shipping companies suspended transit through the Strait of Hormuz, effectively paralyzing maritime traffic in the vital waterway. Strickland emphasized that the disruption is compounded by the highly complex nature of global flight scheduling systems.

Airlines across Europe, Asia, and the Middle East have rerouted or canceled flights to avoid closed airspace, leading to longer routes and rising fuel costs. Many carriers had already been avoiding Russian and Ukrainian airspace following the Russia-Ukraine war. With Iranian and Iraqi airspace now restricted as well, available flight corridors have narrowed even further, exacerbating the strain on global aviation.

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